{"id":118442,"date":"2017-10-13T10:46:13","date_gmt":"2017-10-13T09:46:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=118442"},"modified":"2017-10-13T10:50:00","modified_gmt":"2017-10-13T09:50:00","slug":"sans-un-bon-diagnostic-leconomie-tunisienne-ne-sera-pas-sauvee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2017\/10\/13\/sans-un-bon-diagnostic-leconomie-tunisienne-ne-sera-pas-sauvee\/","title":{"rendered":"Sans un bon diagnostic, l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne ne sera pas sauv\u00e9e"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

S\u2019il n\u2019est pas totalement noir, le tableau de l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne n\u2019est pas rose, non plus, et les chiffres officiels sont l\u00e0 pour le prouver.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p>\n

Par Ezzeddine Saidane<\/strong> *<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"\"Je voudrais vous pr\u00e9senter quelques chiffres officiels, et rien que des chiffres officiels:<\/p>\n

1- Le taux de croissance \u00e9conomique r\u00e9alis\u00e9e au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre par rapport au premier trimestre de cette ann\u00e9e 2017 a \u00e9t\u00e9 de 0,1%. Oui je dis bien 0,1% (source dernier communiqu\u00e9 de l\u2019Institut national de la statistique, INS);<\/p>\n

2- Le d\u00e9ficit de la balance commerciale a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les 10 milliards de dinars tunisiens (10,068) au terme des huit premiers mois de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, soit une aggravation de plus de 22% par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode de 2016;<\/p>\n

3- le d\u00e9ficit de la balance des paiements courants a atteint 6,6% du PIB au terme des huit premiers mois de l\u2019ann\u00e9e (5,8% pendant la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode en 2016). \u00c0 ce rythme il devrait atteindre 10% du PIB \u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Un record absolu pour la Tunisie. La norme maximum admise au niveau international est de 3%! Si vous voulez savoir pourquoi la dette ext\u00e9rieure de la Tunisie atteint des niveaux dangereux, en voici l\u2019explication (le niveau du d\u00e9ficit courant);<\/p>\n

4- les r\u00e9serves de change de la Tunisie baissent encore gravement malgr\u00e9 les multiples cr\u00e9dits ext\u00e9rieurs (et int\u00e9rieurs en euros) obtenus r\u00e9cemment. Nous sommes \u00e0 95 jours d\u2019importation. Nous nous approchons de nouveau de la ligne rouge de 90 jours;<\/p>\n

5- la planche \u00e0 billets se d\u00e9cha\u00eene de nouveau et le refinancement des banques par la Banque centrale de Tunisie (BCT) atteint un nouveau record: 10,543 milliards de dinars le 5 octobre 2017.<\/p>\n

Je suis souvent accus\u00e9 de pr\u00e9senter un tableau noir. Malgr\u00e9 tous ces indicateurs (chiffres officiels), certains nous pr\u00e9sentent un tableau rose en pr\u00e9tendant ind\u00fbment (chiffres relatifs aux investissements directs \u00e9trangers, au tourisme, aux phosphates, etc. exprim\u00e9s en dinars au lieu d\u2019\u00eatre exprim\u00e9s en devises pour tenir compte de la baisse de la monnaie nationale) que la situation s\u2019am\u00e9liore et que la reprise de l\u2019\u00e9conomie est l\u00e0 devant nous.<\/p>\n

Si nous refusons de voir notre r\u00e9alit\u00e9 en face, nous ne pourrions jamais faire le vrai diagnostic et engager de mani\u00e8re RESPONSABLE le vrai sauvetage de notre \u00e9conomie, et par cons\u00e9quent de notre exp\u00e9rience de transition d\u00e9mocratique.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 bon entendeur salut !<\/p>\n

* Expert financier, directeur g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de Directway Consulting. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

S\u2019il n\u2019est pas totalement noir, le tableau de l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne n\u2019est pas rose, non plus, et les chiffres officiels sont l\u00e0 pour le prouver. Par Ezzeddine Saidane *<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":118444,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,1000,2433],"tags":[32834,303,19839,4749],"class_list":["post-118442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-tribune","category-tunisie","tag-deficit-de-la-balance-commerciale","tag-economie-tunisienne","tag-reserves-de-change","tag-taux-de-croissance"],"yoast_head":"\nSans un bon diagnostic, l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne ne sera pas sauv\u00e9e - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2017\/10\/13\/sans-un-bon-diagnostic-leconomie-tunisienne-ne-sera-pas-sauvee\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sans un bon diagnostic, l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne ne sera pas sauv\u00e9e - Kapitalis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"S\u2019il n\u2019est pas totalement noir, le tableau de l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne n\u2019est pas rose, non plus, et les chiffres officiels sont l\u00e0 pour le prouver. 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