{"id":129032,"date":"2017-12-19T19:56:14","date_gmt":"2017-12-19T18:56:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=129032"},"modified":"2017-12-19T19:56:14","modified_gmt":"2017-12-19T18:56:14","slug":"dette-publique-tunisie-va-t-pouvoir-franchir-mur-de-dette","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2017\/12\/19\/dette-publique-tunisie-va-t-pouvoir-franchir-mur-de-dette\/","title":{"rendered":"Dette publique : La Tunisie va-t-elle pouvoir franchir le mur de la dette ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Dans cet article publi\u00e9 dans la s\u00e9rie \u00ab\u00a0Data Analysis\u00a0\u00bb publi\u00e9e par l\u2019Observatoire tunisien de l\u2019\u00e9conomie<\/a> (OTE), le 15 d\u00e9cembre 2017, l’auteur s’inqui\u00e8te de l’explosion de la dette publique tunisienne.<\/em> <\/strong><\/p>\n

Par Chafik Ben Rouine<\/strong> *<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"\"L\u2019augmentation vertigineuse de la dette publique de la Tunisie commence \u00e0 se faire sentir dans le budget de l\u2019Etat \u00e0 travers le service de la dette, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le remboursement annuel de la dette publique int\u00e9rieure et ext\u00e9rieure, int\u00e9r\u00eats compris.<\/p>\n

Le service de la dette a quasiment toujours \u00e9t\u00e9 le premier poste de d\u00e9pense de l\u2019Etat avec une moyenne de 19% des d\u00e9penses publiques sur la p\u00e9riode 2008-2018.<\/p>\n

Alors que la part du service de la dette dans les d\u00e9penses publiques est pass\u00e9 de 20% en 2008 \u00e0 17% en 2011 pour se stabiliser \u00e0 ce niveau jusqu\u2019en 2016, cette part a explos\u00e9 \u00e0 partir de 2017, mais d\u2019une mani\u00e8re assez curieuse.<\/p>\n

En effet, alors que la loi de finances 2017 vot\u00e9e fin 2016 pr\u00e9voyait un service de la dette publique autour de 5,8 milliards de dinars tunisiens (Mds DT), la loi de finances compl\u00e9mentaire 2017 vot\u00e9e en d\u00e9cembre 2017, au m\u00eame moment et donc masqu\u00e9e par la loi de finances 2018, ajustait ce service de la dette pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2017 \u00e0 7 Mds DT. Soit une diff\u00e9rence d\u2019estimation de 1,2 Mds DT !<\/p>\n

Le minist\u00e8re des Finances explique cette diff\u00e9rence par le remboursement du pr\u00eat qatari, dont nous connaissions la date de remboursement depuis au moins l\u2019\u00e9v\u00e9nement \u2018Tunisia2020\u2019 o\u00f9 une partie des promesses qataries allaient servir \u00e0 r\u00e9\u00e9chelonner notre dette envers le Qatar.<\/p>\n

Les ann\u00e9es 2017 et 2018 annoncent ainsi ce que certains appellent le \u00abMur de la dette\u00bb<\/em> qui correspond au d\u00e9but du remboursement de tous les pr\u00eats octroy\u00e9s par les bailleurs de fonds \u00e9trangers qui avaient accord\u00e9 des p\u00e9riodes de gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la Tunisie pour le remboursement du principal de ces dettes.<\/p>\n

Ainsi, nous observons une explosion du principal de la dette ext\u00e9rieure \u00e0 rembourser \u00e0 partir de 2017. De m\u00eame, \u00e0 partir de la m\u00eame ann\u00e9e, nous observons \u00e9galement une forte augmentation des int\u00e9r\u00eats de la dette int\u00e9rieure suite au vote de l\u2019ind\u00e9pendance de la Banque centrale de Tunisie (BCT) qui a eu pour cons\u00e9quence de rendre prohibitif le recours \u00e0 l\u2019endettement interne.<\/p>\n

Face \u00e0 ces \u00e9volutions inqui\u00e9tantes, la Tunisie va-t-elle pouvoir franchir le Mur de la dette ?<\/p>\n

* Pr\u00e9sident de l\u2019Observatoire tunisien de l\u2019\u00e9conomie (OTE). <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dans cet article publi\u00e9 dans la s\u00e9rie \u00ab\u00a0Data Analysis\u00a0\u00bb publi\u00e9e par l\u2019Observatoire tunisien de l\u2019\u00e9conomie (OTE), le 15 d\u00e9cembre 2017, l’auteur s’inqui\u00e8te de l’explosion de la dette publique tunisienne. Par Chafik Ben Rouine *<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":129034,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,995,1000,2433],"tags":[35078],"class_list":["post-129032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-economie","category-tribune","category-tunisie","tag-loi-de-finances-2018"],"yoast_head":"\nDette publique : La Tunisie va-t-elle pouvoir franchir le mur de la dette ? - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2017\/12\/19\/dette-publique-tunisie-va-t-pouvoir-franchir-mur-de-dette\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dette publique : La Tunisie va-t-elle pouvoir franchir le mur de la dette ? - Kapitalis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dans cet article publi\u00e9 dans la s\u00e9rie \u00ab\u00a0Data Analysis\u00a0\u00bb publi\u00e9e par l\u2019Observatoire tunisien de l\u2019\u00e9conomie (OTE), le 15 d\u00e9cembre 2017, l’auteur s’inqui\u00e8te de l’explosion de la dette publique tunisienne. 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