{"id":13747581,"date":"2024-08-11T09:04:34","date_gmt":"2024-08-11T08:04:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=13747581"},"modified":"2024-08-11T09:11:46","modified_gmt":"2024-08-11T08:11:46","slug":"presidentielle-tunisienne-un-grand-desequilibre-des-forces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2024\/08\/11\/presidentielle-tunisienne-un-grand-desequilibre-des-forces\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e9sidentielle tunisienne\u00a0: un grand d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre des forces"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A moins d\u2019une grosse surprise, d\u2019un tsunami ou d\u2019un tremblement de terre, on ne voit pas comment Zouhair Maghzaoui ou Ayachi Zammel, avec tout le respect qu\u2019on leur doit, pourront-ils d\u00e9loger l\u2019actuel locataire du Palais de Carthage, si tant est qu\u2019ils se donnent vraiment pour objectif de remporter la pr\u00e9sidentielle du 6 octobre prochain. Ce dont on a de bonnes raisons de douter\u2026 \u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ridha Kefi <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Sur les 17 candidatures pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es, pas toutes s\u00e9rieuses et cr\u00e9dibles il est vrai, la commission \u00e9lectorale n\u2019a finalement retenu que trois candidats pour la pr\u00e9sidentielle du 6 octobre 2024, et qui sont, sans surprise\u00a0: Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed, Zouhair Maghzaoui et Ayachi Zammel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Au-del\u00e0 des explications donn\u00e9es hier, samedi 10 ao\u00fbt, par Farouk Bouasker, pr\u00e9sident de l\u2019Instance sup\u00e9rieure ind\u00e9pendante pour les \u00e9lections (Isie), et sans trop attendre des \u00e9ventuels recours qui seront tent\u00e9s par certains candidats recal\u00e9s aupr\u00e8s du tribunal administratif, l\u2019affiche n\u2019offre pas, \u00e0 premi\u00e8re vue, la garantie d\u2019un grand match, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire un match tr\u00e8s disput\u00e9 o\u00f9 le r\u00e9sultat pourrait basculer d\u2019un c\u00f4t\u00e9 ou d\u2019un autre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Question d\u2019\u00e9quilibre des forces<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En effet, le pr\u00e9sident sortant, Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed, semble avoir toutes les cartes en main pour se succ\u00e9der \u00e0 lui-m\u00eame sans faire trop d\u2019effort pour cela, car il n\u2019a pas en face de lui des personnalit\u00e9s de premier ordre capables de drainer les foules derri\u00e8re leurs candidatures respectives. Encore heureux si l’un d’eux pourrait passer le cap du premier tour… <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zouhair Maghzaoui et Ayachi Zammel sont certes des activistes politiques habitu\u00e9s aux joutes oratoires et aux d\u00e9bats publics, mais ils dirigent des petits partis et leurs noms n\u2019ont presque jamais figur\u00e9 dans les sondages d\u2019opinion au top dix des personnalit\u00e9s politiques les plus populaires en Tunisie. C\u2019\u00e9tait certes il y a quelque temps, lorsque les sondages d\u2019opinion \u00e9taient encore r\u00e9alis\u00e9es et leurs r\u00e9sultats diffus\u00e9s par les m\u00e9dias, car ce n\u2019est plus le cas aujourd\u2019hui, mais on ne pense pas que l\u2019\u00e9quilibre des forces a beaucoup chang\u00e9 entretemps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Par ailleurs, ceux et celles dont les noms figuraient il y a quelque temps dans le top dix des personnalit\u00e9s les plus populaires en Tunisie, \u00e0 savoir Abir Moussi, Safi Sa\u00efed, Karim Gharbi alias K2Rhym et, \u00e0 un degr\u00e9 moindre, Neji Jalloul, ont vu leurs candidatures rejet\u00e9es pour diverses raisons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces raisons sont, selon le pr\u00e9sident de la commission \u00e9lectorale, l\u2019absence du nombre requis de parrainages, ou l\u2019absence de caution financi\u00e8re exig\u00e9e ou encore la non-\u00e9ligibilit\u00e9 des conditions de nationalit\u00e9 et ce, en d\u00e9pit de la notification de ces \u00abmanquements\u00bb<\/em> aux personnes concern\u00e9es dans les d\u00e9lais impartis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les d\u00e9cisions du conseil de l\u2019Isie\u00a0sont \u00absaines\u00bb<\/em> et le rejet des dossiers \u00ab\u00e9tait bas\u00e9 sur des fondements juridiques solides\u00bb<\/em>, et n\u2019\u00e9tait pas fond\u00e9 sur l\u2019absence de l\u2019extrait du casier judiciaire (bulletin n\u00b03), contrairement aux informations relay\u00e9es, a soulign\u00e9 Bousaker. On n\u2019a aucune raison pour ne pas le croire, m\u00eame si certains candidats recal\u00e9s affirment, de leur c\u00f4t\u00e9, qu’ils ont \u00e9t\u00e9 emp\u00each\u00e9s de concourir par une administration aux ordres qui ne leur a pas d\u00e9livr\u00e9 les s\u00e9sames requis pour cela.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Question de volont\u00e9 aussi  <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cela dit, et en attendant l\u2019annonce de la liste finale des candidats, au plus tard le 4 septembre, on peut parier qu\u2019elle ne sera pas tr\u00e8s diff\u00e9rente de celle annonc\u00e9e hier, et \u00e0 moins d\u2019une grosse surprise, d\u2019un tsunami ou d\u2019un tremblement de terre, on ne voit pas comment Zouhair Maghzaoui ou Ayachi Zammel, avec tout le respect qu\u2019on leur doit, pourront-ils d\u00e9loger l\u2019actuel locataire du Palais de Carthage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On voudrait bien, en tant que journalistes et analystes politiques, jouer le jeu de la neutralit\u00e9 qu\u2019impose la circonstance, mais on ne peut tout de m\u00eame pas tordre le coup \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 et \u00e0 l\u2019objectivit\u00e9. Car, \u00e0 moins d\u2019\u00eatre des na\u00effs ou des r\u00eaveurs inv\u00e9t\u00e9r\u00e9s, les deux candidats qui vont croiser le fer avec Sa\u00efed savent, au fond d\u2019eux-m\u00eames, que leurs chances de succ\u00e9der \u00e0 ce dernier sont infimes. On peut d\u2019ailleurs m\u00eame douter de leur volont\u00e9 d\u2019y parvenir, tant ils n\u2019ont cess\u00e9, jusque-l\u00e0, d\u2019exprimer leur soutien au pr\u00e9sident sortant, \u00absoutien critique\u00bb<\/em> certes, comme ils disent, mais soutien tout de m\u00eame. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On attendra donc de voir leur comportement et leur discours lors de la campagne \u00e9lectorale pour juger du s\u00e9rieux de leur candidature, tout en leur souhaitant bon vent et en esp\u00e9rant qu\u2019ils feront d\u00e9placer les foules lors de leurs meetings \u00e9lectoraux, ne fut-ce que pour animer un tant soit peu une campagne qui ne s\u2019annonce pas tr\u00e8s chaude. \u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A moins d\u2019une grosse surprise, on ne voit pas comment Zouhair Maghzaoui ou Ayachi Zammel pourront battre Ka\u00efs Sa\u00efed \u00e0 la prochaine pr\u00e9sidentielle. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":13747615,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,997,2433],"tags":[15144,79858,99253,64353,17574,76012,3159,4797,115338,4896],"class_list":["post-13747581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-politique","category-tunisie","tag-abir-moussi","tag-ayachi-zammel","tag-commission-electorale","tag-farouk-bouasker","tag-k2rhym","tag-kais-saied-2","tag-neji-jalloul","tag-presidentielle","tag-safi-saied","tag-zouhair-maghzaoui"],"yoast_head":"\nPr\u00e9sidentielle tunisienne\u00a0: un grand d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre des forces - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2024\/08\/11\/presidentielle-tunisienne-un-grand-desequilibre-des-forces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pr\u00e9sidentielle tunisienne\u00a0: un grand d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre des forces - 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