{"id":14032063,"date":"2024-09-21T10:33:40","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T09:33:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=14032063"},"modified":"2024-09-21T10:42:08","modified_gmt":"2024-09-21T09:42:08","slug":"janes-prevoit-des-tensions-en-tunisie-lors-des-presidentielles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2024\/09\/21\/janes-prevoit-des-tensions-en-tunisie-lors-des-presidentielles\/","title":{"rendered":"Janes pr\u00e9voit des tensions en Tunisie lors des pr\u00e9sidentielles \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Dans un rapport publi\u00e9 le 2 septembre et consult\u00e9 le 20 septembre 2024, Janes<\/a>, site web britannique sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le renseignement de d\u00e9fense open source, estime que l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle tunisienne du 6 octobre prochain \u00abconstitue un point chaud pour les protestations et les tensions\u00bb.<\/em><\/strong> (Illustration : manifestation anti-migrants subsahariens \u00e0 Jebeniana, Sfax).<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

\u00abLa Tunisie est plong\u00e9e dans une crise politique prolong\u00e9e depuis juillet 2021\u00bb<\/em>, \u00e9crit l\u2019auteur du rapport, James Trigg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evaluant les risques entourant l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle, ce dernier n\u2019\u00e9carte pas \u00abla perspective de troubles publics, de tensions sociales et de violences \u00e0 motivation politique.\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abLa poursuite des r\u00e9formes politiques par Sa\u00efed a divis\u00e9 les Tunisiens, ses d\u00e9tracteurs, notamment les politiciens de l\u2019opposition et les acteurs de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 civile, accusant Sa\u00efed de coup d\u2019\u00c9tat. L\u2019\u00e9lection repr\u00e9sente une \u00e9tape cruciale dans sa campagne et un foyer potentiel de frustration et de m\u00e9contentement \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9gard de son gouvernement\u00bb<\/em>, souligne le rapport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Janes<\/em> estime qu\u2019il existe \u00abune possibilit\u00e9 r\u00e9aliste\u00bb<\/em> que Sa\u00efed et son gouvernement invoquent, \u00e0 l\u2019appui de leurs d\u00e9cisions, \u00abdes r\u00e9cits populistes, tels que les menaces pour la stabilit\u00e9 sociale tunisienne pos\u00e9es par des individus anonymes qui sp\u00e9culent sur les denr\u00e9es alimentaires, l\u2019influence des puissances \u00e9trang\u00e8res et des migrants subsahariens, et les risques que cela repr\u00e9sente pour provoquer des tensions sociales et des violences sectaires\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"

Manifestations et \u00e9meutes relatives aux r\u00e9formes politiques du pr\u00e9sident Sa\u00efed (juillet 2021-ao\u00fbt 2024).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"\"
Protestations et \u00e9meutes relatives aux r\u00e9formes politiques de Saied compar\u00e9es au total des protestation et \u00e9meutes en Tunisie, de juillet 2021 \u00e0 ao\u00fbt 2024.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Janes<\/em> estime qu\u2019\u00abil existe une possibilit\u00e9 r\u00e9aliste de voir la col\u00e8re et le m\u00e9contentement populaires \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9gard des r\u00e9formes politiques de Sa\u00efed se manifester par d\u2019importantes manifestations, principalement \u00e0 Tunis pendant les \u00e9lections.\u00bb <\/em>Mais il s\u2019empresse de pr\u00e9ciser, comme pour temp\u00e9rer ses pr\u00e9visions quelque peu pessimistes : \u00abCes probl\u00e8mes ne risquent de s\u2019\u00e9tendre g\u00e9ographiquement que s\u2019ils se confondent avec les pr\u00e9occupations plus localis\u00e9es des Tunisiens, qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 la cause pr\u00e9dominante des manifestations en dehors de Tunis.\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I.B.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La pr\u00e9sidentielle tunisienne du 6 octobre prochain \u00abconstitue un point chaud pour les protestations et les tensions\u00bb, estime le magazine Janes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12880488,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[997,2433],"tags":[118034,118033,76012,85766,4375,1045,93538,62643],"class_list":["post-14032063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politique","category-tunisie","tag-james-trigg","tag-janes","tag-kais-saied-2","tag-migrants-subsahariens","tag-presidentielles","tag-protestations","tag-reformes-politiques","tag-tunisie"],"yoast_head":"\nJanes pr\u00e9voit des tensions en Tunisie lors des pr\u00e9sidentielles \u00a0 - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2024\/09\/21\/janes-prevoit-des-tensions-en-tunisie-lors-des-presidentielles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Janes pr\u00e9voit des tensions en Tunisie lors des pr\u00e9sidentielles \u00a0 - 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