{"id":18599492,"date":"2026-04-09T09:50:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T08:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=18599492"},"modified":"2026-04-09T10:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T09:00:12","slug":"iran-etats-unis-le-pari-de-la-paix-en-14-jours","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2026\/04\/09\/iran-etats-unis-le-pari-de-la-paix-en-14-jours\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran – Etats-Unis\u00a0| L’improbable pari de la paix en 14 jours"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

L\u2019offre iranienne des \u00ab10 points\u00bb comme socle d\u2019une nouvelle architecture de paix, assortie d\u2019un moratoire de deux semaines, ne constitue pas une simple tr\u00eave technique, mais une invitation \u00e0 sortir de la r\u00e9p\u00e9tition tragique pour entrer dans une grammaire du r\u00e9el. Mais la n\u00e9gociation d’une paix acceptable par les deux parties risque d’\u00eatre longue, ardue et improbable, avec des reprises des agressions mutuelles, dont nous avons d\u00e9j\u00e0 eu un avant-go\u00fbt hier, mercredi 8 avril 2026, avec des raids am\u00e9ricains contre l’Iran, iraniens contre les pays du Golfe et isra\u00e9liens contre le Liban. <\/em><\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mahjoub Lotfi Belhedi *<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Ces quatorze jours ne sont pas un d\u00e9lai de gr\u00e2ce, mais un laboratoire de la confiance, autrement dit, c\u2019est le passage du temps destructeur (Chronos) au temps de l\u2019opportunit\u00e9 saisie (Kairos) o\u00f9 l\u2019Iran propose de suspendre le fracas pour laisser place au silence, un silence qui oblige les USA \u00e0 \u00e9couter l\u2019\u00e9cho de leur propre politique \u00e9trang\u00e8re, surtout que la guerre qu’ils ont d\u00e9clench\u00e9e contre l’Iran est loin de faire l’unanimit\u00e9 \u00e0 l’ext\u00e9rieur comme \u00e0 l’int\u00e9rieur, y compris dans le camp du pr\u00e9sident Donald Trump.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nous sommes donc en pr\u00e9sence d’un test de volont\u00e9 : qui, de Washington ou de T\u00e9h\u00e9ran, est capable de supporter le poids de la paix qui aurait, pour l’un comme pour l’autre, un go\u00fbt de d\u00e9faite accept\u00e9e ou d’une victoire couteuse au go\u00fbt amer ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un d\u00e9calogue de souverainet\u00e9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les dix points pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s par l’Iran se veulent comme les piliers d\u2019un temple dont le toit serait la stabilit\u00e9 r\u00e9gionale. Ils ne sont pas n\u00e9gociables, en tout cas de son point de vue, puisqu\u2019ils touchent \u00e0 l\u2019ontologie m\u00eame de l\u2019\u00c9tat iranien et du peuple perse :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– la reconnaissance mutuelle : passer du statut de \u00abmenace\u00bb<\/em> \u00e0 celui d\u2019\u00abinterlocuteur l\u00e9gitime\u00bb <\/em>;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– le d\u00e9senclavement \u00e9conomique : la lev\u00e9e des sanctions n\u2019est plus vue comme une faveur, mais comme la r\u00e9paration d\u2019un droit naturel au commerce ;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 globale : l\u2019offre sugg\u00e8re que la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l\u2019un ne peut plus se construire sur l\u2019ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l\u2019autre, donc, en d’autres termes, la reconnaissance par les Etats-Unis du droit de l’Iran de disposer des outils n\u00e9cessaires \u00e0 sa d\u00e9fense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En posant ces jalons, l\u2019Iran place les \u00c9tats-Unis face \u00e0 leur propre paradoxe. Si Washington refuse, il valide l\u2019image de l\u2019h\u00e9g\u00e9mon belliqueux, et s\u2019il accepte, il admet l’\u00e9chec de la guerre qu’il a men\u00e9e contre l’Iran et la fin de l\u2019unilat\u00e9ralisme, un second \u00e9chec s’il en est, puisque cela annoncera le d\u00e9but de la fin de l’Empire am\u00e9ricain n\u00e9 au lendemain de la seconde guerre mondiale. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

La r\u00e9ponse de l\u2019Empire<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La profondeur de cette offre r\u00e9side dans sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 transformer le rapport de force en un rapport de responsabilit\u00e9 o\u00f9 T\u00e9h\u00e9ran ne demande pas la reddition, mais la cohabitation des puissances, en s’imposant lui-m\u00eame comme un interlocuteur incontournable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette proposition est la fondation d\u2019un \u00e9difice o\u00f9 chaque pierre est un engagement v\u00e9rifiable marquant la fin de la diplomatie des coulisses pour celle de la clart\u00e9 solaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En 10 points, l\u2019Iran cherche \u00e0 dessiner une nouvelle carte o\u00f9 les fronti\u00e8res ne sont plus des lignes de front, mais des zones de contact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fine, lire l\u2019offre iranienne, c\u2019est comprendre que la paix est un acte de courage sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la guerre. Ces deux semaines sont le seuil d\u2019un monde post-sanction, post-confrontation, un appel \u00e0 passer de l\u2019\u00e8re du soup\u00e7on \u00e0 celle des compromis \u2013 ou des deals, un mot cher \u00e0 Donald Trump, et que le cessez-le-feu n\u2019est pas la fin du conflit, mais plut\u00f4t le d\u00e9but de la v\u00e9rit\u00e9. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

On peut toujours r\u00eaver… Mais sans se des illusions sur les intentions des uns et des autres, qui continueront de se regarder comme deux chiens de fa\u00efence, en attendant la prochaine confrontation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Ceo d\u2019un cabinet sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 en transformation IA.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019offre iranienne des \u00ab10 points\u00bb est le socle d\u2019une nouvelle architecture de paix, encore faut-il que l’empire retrouve la raison. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":18599508,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,997,1000,2433],"tags":[9054,75918,497,94906],"class_list":["post-18599492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-politique","category-tribune","category-tunisie","tag-donald-trump","tag-etats-unis-2","tag-iran","tag-mahjoub-lotfi-belhedi"],"yoast_head":"\nIran - Etats-Unis\u00a0| L'improbable pari de la paix en 14 jours - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019offre iranienne des \u00ab10 points\u00bb est le socle d\u2019une nouvelle architecture de paix, encore faut-il que l'empire retrouve la raison.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2026\/04\/09\/iran-etats-unis-le-pari-de-la-paix-en-14-jours\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran - 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