{"id":18760194,"date":"2026-05-13T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T06:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=18760194"},"modified":"2026-05-13T07:25:54","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T06:25:54","slug":"guerre-diran-les-geants-europeens-du-petrole-se-goinfrent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2026\/05\/13\/guerre-diran-les-geants-europeens-du-petrole-se-goinfrent\/","title":{"rendered":"Guerre d\u2019Iran | Les g\u00e9ants europ\u00e9ens du p\u00e9trole se goinfrent !"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>Les trois plus grandes compagnies p\u00e9troli\u00e8res europ\u00e9ennes \u2013Shell, BP et Total Energies\u2013 ont engrang\u00e9 4,75 milliards de dollars de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices suppl\u00e9mentaires gr\u00e2ce aux turbulences sur les march\u00e9s mondiaux de l\u2019\u00e9nergie provoqu\u00e9es par la guerre am\u00e9ricano-isra\u00e9lienne contre l\u2019Iran. Elles ont su tirer profit des fortes fluctuations de prix via leurs filiales de n\u00e9goce.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Imed Bahri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Selon le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/f4030665-d5dc-4afd-8e62-9b2ee8a8ad0f?syn-25a6b1a6=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Financial Times<\/a> (FT) qui se base sur les estimations de cinq analystes, les activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce de ces trois entreprises ont g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 entre 3,3 et 4,75 milliards de dollars de plus au premier trimestre de l\u2019ann\u00e9e par rapport aux trois derniers mois de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On estime que les activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce ont repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 entre 48% et 69% de l\u2019augmentation totale des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices des entreprises, qui s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 6,9 milliards de dollars par rapport au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La guerre redessine la carte \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette flamb\u00e9e des profits est survenue alors que la guerre au Moyen-Orient et l\u2019intervention am\u00e9ricaine au Venezuela ont perturb\u00e9 les flux \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques mondiaux, mettant en lumi\u00e8re l\u2019\u00e9cart entre les g\u00e9ants europ\u00e9ens et leurs homologues am\u00e9ricains, tels qu\u2019ExxonMobil et Chevron, dont les profits restent plus \u00e9troitement li\u00e9s \u00e0 la production directe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kim Fustier, analyste chez HSBC, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que la performance des d\u00e9partements de trading de BP, Shell et Total repr\u00e9sente un <em>\u00abdiff\u00e9renciateur significatif\u00bb<\/em> et un<em> \u00abavantage concurrentiel\u00bb<\/em> pour les entreprises europ\u00e9ennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les \u00e9quipes de trading sont g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement les plus performantes en p\u00e9riode de forte volatilit\u00e9, lorsqu\u2019elles tirent profit des \u00e9carts de prix entre les march\u00e9s et de la demande accrue de couverture des clients contre les fluctuations de prix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pendant la guerre d\u2019Iran, les prix du p\u00e9trole ont connu de fortes fluctuations et les routes commerciales traditionnelles ont \u00e9t\u00e9 redessin\u00e9es apr\u00e8s la fermeture du d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz et les perturbations d\u2019approvisionnement qui en ont r\u00e9sult\u00e9 entre le Moyen-Orient et l\u2019Asie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le Brent, qui se n\u00e9gociait sous la barre des 60 dollars en janvier, a atteint un niveau record en avril, certaines cargaisons physiques se vendant \u00e0 plus de 144 dollars le baril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">BP,<strong> empire du n\u00e9goce mondial<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Les n\u00e9gociants de BP semblent avoir \u00e9t\u00e9 les plus grands profiteurs de cette p\u00e9riode de turbulences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Selon les estimations moyennes de quatre analystes, la division n\u00e9goce de BP a g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 1,75 milliard de dollars de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices suppl\u00e9mentaires au premier trimestre par rapport au dernier trimestre 2025, soit environ un quart des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices annuels ajust\u00e9s de l\u2019entreprise l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cependant, un analyste estime ces b\u00e9n\u00e9fices suppl\u00e9mentaires \u00e0 seulement 800 millions de dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shell a g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 environ 1,6 milliard de dollars de revenus suppl\u00e9mentaires gr\u00e2ce au n\u00e9goce, selon les estimations moyennes de cinq analystes, tandis que Total Energies en a g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 environ 800 millions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BP exploite l\u2019un des plus grands r\u00e9seaux de n\u00e9goce de p\u00e9trole au monde, employant plus de 2 000 personnes \u00e0 Londres, Singapour et Houston.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u2019entreprise commercialise plus de quatre milliards de barils de p\u00e9trole par an, soit plusieurs fois sa production r\u00e9elle, et g\u00e8re en permanence plus de 300 p\u00e9troliers transportant du p\u00e9trole et du carburant \u00e0 travers le monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lors de la publication de leurs r\u00e9sultats du premier trimestre, les dirigeants des trois entreprises ont mis en avant la performance de leurs activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La directrice financi\u00e8re de Shell, Sinead Gorman, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que le groupe avait b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 d\u2019une contribution nettement sup\u00e9rieure des activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce et d\u2019une am\u00e9lioration des op\u00e9rations et ce, apr\u00e8s l\u2019annonce par l\u2019entreprise d\u2019un b\u00e9n\u00e9fice de 6,9 \u200b\u200bmilliards de dollars, en hausse de pr\u00e8s d\u2019un quart par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La directrice g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de BP, Meg O\u2019Neill, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 vouloir souligner l\u2019importance accord\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me de n\u00e9goce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le pr\u00e9sident de Total Energies, Patrick Pouyann\u00e9, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 : <em>\u00abNos n\u00e9gociants sont g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement satisfaits face \u00e0 la volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s\u00bb<\/em>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Une transaction d\u2019un milliard de dollars<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dans l\u2019une des transactions les plus lucratives du trimestre, les traders de Total ont engrang\u00e9 plus d\u2019un milliard de dollars gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 des paris \u00e0 la baisse sur le p\u00e9trole brut de Duba\u00ef et d\u2019Oman, en achetant la totalit\u00e9 des cargaisons disponibles sur le march\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les investisseurs ont salu\u00e9 la vigueur de l\u2019activit\u00e9 de trading des entreprises europ\u00e9ennes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Depuis le d\u00e9but de la guerre fin f\u00e9vrier, l\u2019action BP a progress\u00e9 de 12%, celle de Total de 21% et de Shell de 9%, malgr\u00e9 sa forte exposition au d\u00e9clin de la production du Golfe suite aux attaques contre ses installations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, l\u2019action Exxon a chut\u00e9 de plus de 4% et celle de Chevron n\u2019a progress\u00e9 que de 2,7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">L\u2019\u00e9cart entre Europ\u00e9ens et Am\u00e9ricains<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette disparit\u00e9 s\u2019explique \u00e9galement par une diff\u00e9rence comptable. Contrairement aux entreprises europ\u00e9ennes, Exxon et Chevron ont \u00e9t\u00e9 contraintes d\u2019enregistrer des pertes li\u00e9es \u00e0 leurs op\u00e9rations de couverture car les normes comptables am\u00e9ricaines les obligent \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s \u00e0 leur prix de march\u00e9 actuel au lieu de les fixer jusqu\u2019aux livraisons effectives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Le PDG d\u2019Exxon, Darren Woods, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 : <em>\u00abIl s\u2019agit simplement d\u2019un probl\u00e8me de calendrier comptable. Nous enregistrons la moiti\u00e9 de l\u2019op\u00e9ration et non l\u2019autre moiti\u00e9. Lorsque les livraisons seront effectu\u00e9es, les r\u00e9sultats comptables compenseront cette perte\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 le d\u00e9veloppement de leurs activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, Exxon et Chevron restent en retrait par rapport \u00e0 leurs concurrents europ\u00e9ens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Un analyste a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que les entreprises am\u00e9ricaines n\u2019ont pas la m\u00eame propension au risque : <em>\u00abSi l\u2019on prend l\u2019exemple de l\u2019accord conclu avec Oman, qui a rapport\u00e9 1 milliard de dollars \u00e0 Total, j\u2019ai du mal \u00e0 imaginer Exxon ou Chevron faire de m\u00eame. Ce n\u2019est pas dans leur culture\u00bb<\/em>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Total Energies a confirm\u00e9 au <em>FT<\/em> que les activit\u00e9s de n\u00e9goce ne sont <em>\u00abpas sans risque\u00bb<\/em>, qu\u2019elles peuvent g\u00e9n\u00e9rer des pertes comme des profits et qu\u2019elles doivent \u00eatre \u00e9valu\u00e9es dans le cadre du portefeuille global de l\u2019entreprise et sur le long terme. Quant \u00e0 Shell et BP, ils ont refus\u00e9 tout commentaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shell, BP et Total Energies ont engrang\u00e9 des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices suppl\u00e9mentaires gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la crise de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie provoqu\u00e9e par la guerre de l\u2019Iran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":18760222,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,995,2433],"tags":[75657,78047,113101,75918,128268,497,79371,709,91263,109167,78703],"class_list":["post-18760194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-bp","tag-chevron","tag-detroit-dormuz","tag-etats-unis-2","tag-exxonmobil","tag-iran","tag-moyen-orient-2","tag-petrole","tag-shell","tag-total-energies","tag-venezuela"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Guerre d\u2019Iran | Les g\u00e9ants europ\u00e9ens du p\u00e9trole se goinfrent ! 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