{"id":19773789,"date":"2026-10-09T13:03:44","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T12:03:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=19773789"},"modified":"2026-10-09T13:03:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T12:03:47","slug":"tunisie-le-maintien-du-taux-dinteret-a-7-ne-durera-pas-longtemps","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2026\/10\/09\/tunisie-le-maintien-du-taux-dinteret-a-7-ne-durera-pas-longtemps\/","title":{"rendered":"Tunisie | Le maintien du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 7 % ne durera pas longtemps"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em><strong><em>L\u2019\u00e9conomiste universitaire Moez Soussi<\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/strong> <strong><em>a qualifi\u00e9 d\u2019inattendu le maintien \u00e0 7 % du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat directeur de la Banque centrale de Tunisie (BCT), car il anticipait personnellement une hausse d\u2019au moins 50 points de base \u2014 pour le porter \u00e0 7,5 % \u2014 compte tenu des indicateurs \u00e9conomiques nationales et internationales et des pressions inflationnistes croissantes. Ce maintien du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 7 % ne durera pas longtemps, a-t-il cependant estim\u00e9<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M. Soussi, qui intervenait sur les ondes de <a href=\"https:\/\/diwanfm.net\/news\/%D8%A7%D9%82%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF\/%D9%88%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%8A%D8%A9%3A-%D8%AA%D9%88%D9%86%D8%B3-%D8%B5%D9%85%D8%AF%D8%AA-%D8%A3%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%85-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D8%B2%D9%85%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D9%88%D8%AD%D9%82%D9%82%D8%AA-%D9%86%D8%B3%D8%A8-%D9%86%D9%85%D9%88-%D8%A5%D9%8A%D8%AC%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%8A%D8%A9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Diwan FM<\/a>, a expliqu\u00e9 que ses pr\u00e9visions reposaient sur divers facteurs externes et internes, notamment l\u2019\u00e9volution du march\u00e9 mondial de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, la d\u00e9cision d\u2019augmenter leur taux directeur par la plupart des grandes banques centrales, ainsi que les pressions pesant sur le dinar tunisien et la hausse du taux d\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u2019agissant des facteurs externes, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste a soulign\u00e9 la hausse des prix des hydrocarbures sur le march\u00e9 mondial dans un contexte d\u2019incertitude persistante, estimant que l\u2019\u00e9volution des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie pourrait accentuer les pressions sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie de la Tunisie qui doit importer plus de 60% de ses besoins \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il a \u00e9galement attir\u00e9 l\u2019attention sur la tendance des grandes banques centrales \u00e0 durcir leur politique mon\u00e9taire, \u00e9voquant la d\u00e9cision de la Fed, la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale am\u00e9ricaine, de relever ses taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat de 25 points de base \u2014 les portant de 3,75 % \u00e0 4 % \u2014 ainsi que celle de la Banque centrale europ\u00e9enne de les augmenter de 25 points de base, pour atteindre 2,65 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M. Soussi a soulign\u00e9 que la hausse du rendement du dollar et des devises \u00e9trang\u00e8res exercerait une pression suppl\u00e9mentaire sur les flux de devises et sur le taux de change du dinar tunisien. Selon lui, cela n\u00e9cessite de m\u00e9nager une marge de man\u0153uvre accrue pour att\u00e9nuer les risques de change et limiter l\u2019impact de l\u2019inflation import\u00e9e sur les co\u00fbts de production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sur le plan int\u00e9rieur, M. Soussi a attir\u00e9 l\u2019attention sur plusieurs indicateurs \u00e9conomiques et mon\u00e9taires, notamment l\u2019\u00e9cart entre l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se retenue dans la loi de finances 2026 et le prix du p\u00e9trole effectivement enregistr\u00e9. Les pr\u00e9visions budg\u00e9taires tablaient sur un prix de 63,3 dollars le baril, alors que la moyenne r\u00e9elle, sur la p\u00e9riode allant de janvier \u00e0 septembre, s\u2019est \u00e9tablie \u00e0 environ 94 dollars le baril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il a \u00e9galement soulign\u00e9 le ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique, pass\u00e9e de 2,6 % au premier trimestre \u00e0 2,3 % au deuxi\u00e8me, estimant que la baisse de la production pourrait accentuer les pressions sur les prix.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Concernant l\u2019inflation, M. Soussi a relev\u00e9 une hausse du taux en glissement annuel \u00e0 5,6 % en septembre, contre 4,8 % en d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e, ajoutant que l\u2019inflation a augment\u00e9 pour le deuxi\u00e8me mois cons\u00e9cutif en ao\u00fbt et septembre, une premi\u00e8re depuis 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En se projetant sur la p\u00e9riode \u00e0 venir, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste a estim\u00e9 peu probable que le taux directeur soit maintenu \u00e0 7 % pour une longue dur\u00e9e. Selon lui, la BCT sera contrainte, prochainement, de le relever de 50 points de base, ajoutant que cette hausse \u00e9ventuelle s\u2019inscrit dans le cadre de sa politique mon\u00e9taire, consistant \u00e0 pr\u00e9server la stabilit\u00e9 des prix, \u00e0 prot\u00e9ger le pouvoir d\u2019achat, \u00e0 soutenir la stabilit\u00e9 de la valeur du dinar et \u00e0 renforcer la comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9conomie nationale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rappelons qu\u2019un taux directeur \u00e9lev\u00e9, et le 7% en vigueur en Tunisie l\u2019est \u00e0 coup s\u00fbr. Cens\u00e9 juguler l\u2019inflation, il entra\u00eene plusieurs impacts n\u00e9gatifs majeurs\u00a0: il rench\u00e9rit le co\u00fbt du cr\u00e9dit, baisse la capacit\u00e9 d\u2019emprunt, freine l\u2019investissement, ralentit l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et, notamment, le march\u00e9 immobilier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>I. B.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le maintien \u00e0 7 % du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat directeur de la Banque centrale de Tunisie ne durera pas longtemps (Moez Soussi). <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1376653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[995,2433],"tags":[135,478,130510,25641,88013,62643],"class_list":["post-19773789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-bct","tag-inflation","tag-moez-soussi","tag-politique-monetaire","tag-taux-dinteret-2","tag-tunisie"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tunisie | Le maintien du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 7 % ne durera pas longtemps - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le maintien \u00e0 7 % du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat directeur de la Banque centrale de Tunisie ne durera pas longtemps (Moez Soussi).\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2026\/10\/09\/tunisie-le-maintien-du-taux-dinteret-a-7-ne-durera-pas-longtemps\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tunisie | Le maintien du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 7 % ne durera pas longtemps - 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