Le Conseil d\u2019analyse \u00e9conomique (CAE) organise avec le concours de la GIZ, une table-ronde sur \u00abLa conjoncture \u00e9conomique nationale et internationale 2018 et perspectives 2019 \u00bb, le jeudi 28 f\u00e9vrier 2019 \u00e0 l\u2019h\u00f4tel Four Seasons \u00e0 Gammarth.<\/strong> <\/em><\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Autour d\u2019Afif Chelbi, pr\u00e9sident du CAE, on annonce la participation de Tobias Seiberlich, coordinateur du cluster, chef des projets d\u00e9veloppement durable de l\u2019\u00e9conomie et promotion de l\u2019emploi, Zouheir El Kadhi, DG de l\u2019 Itceq et membre du CAE; Philippe Martin, pr\u00e9sident du CAE fran\u00e7ais, Lamia Boujneh Zribi, pr\u00e9sidente du Conseil national de la statistique (CNS) et membre du CAE, Moez Labidi, professeur \u00e0 l\u2019Universit\u00e9 de Monastir et membre du CAE, et F\u00e9rid Ben Brahim, directeur g\u00e9n\u00e9ral d\u2019Arab Financial Consultants (AFC).<\/p>\n
Des pr\u00e9mices de reprise de la croissance encore fragile<\/h3>\n
Le num\u00e9ro sp\u00e9cial de janvier 2019 de la revue de conjoncture \u00e9conomique, publi\u00e9e par le CAE en collaboration avec l\u2019Itceq et le CNS, pr\u00e9sente et analyse les principaux indicateurs de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2018. Une ann\u00e9e marqu\u00e9e par des pr\u00e9mices de reprise de la croissance qui demeure n\u00e9anmoins fragile car port\u00e9e essentiellement par les secteurs agricole et touristique tandis que les principaux autres secteurs productifs (industrie, \u00e9nergie, phosphates) connaissent un fl\u00e9chissement, le d\u00e9ficit de la balance commerciale atteignant un niveau in\u00e9gal\u00e9 \u00e0 19 milliards de dinars et la valeur du dinar subissant une forte d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation. Le recul, en fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e 2018, des IME, premier secteur exportateur, constitue en outre une nouvelle tendance pr\u00e9occupante.<\/p>\n
Pour faire face \u00e0 ces fragilit\u00e9s, qui passent d\u2019un trend conjoncturel \u00e0 une dangereuse courbe structurelle, il faut tout d\u2019abord faire le bon diagnostic, \u00e9carter les fausses pistes et engager les vraies solutions, tout en ma\u00eetrisant les d\u00e9penses publiques. Il s\u2019agit, entre autres urgences, de r\u00e9tablir la confiance, l\u2019autorit\u00e9 de l\u2019Etat de droit et le fonctionnement des institutions ; d\u2019appuyer r\u00e9solument la relance des secteurs productifs et d\u2019engager un v\u00e9ritable Plan Dinar pour le redressement de notre monnaie nationale.<\/p>\n
Pour un pacte pour le d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomique et l\u2019\u00e9quit\u00e9 sociale<\/h3>\n
Bref ne pas laisser les difficult\u00e9s budg\u00e9taires, r\u00e9elles, prendre le pas sur l\u2019imp\u00e9ratif de relance car la crise est certes \u00e9conomique, mais elle est surtout politique et id\u00e9ologique.<\/p>\n
Pour cela, le Conseil a appel\u00e9 \u00e0 un dialogue \u00e9conomique national devant aboutir \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9laboration d\u2019un pacte pour le d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomique et l\u2019\u00e9quit\u00e9 sociale \u00e0 \u00e9tablir entre les pouvoirs publics et les partenaires sociaux.<\/p>\n
Cette approche s\u2019inscrit dans l\u2019id\u00e9e qu\u2019\u00e0 situation exceptionnelle il faut une politique \u00e9conomique exceptionnelle, novatrice en rupture avec les modes usuels de conception et de conduite des r\u00e9formes. Cela suppose la mise en place d\u2019un Etat de droit, d\u00e9veloppementaliste garant de l\u2019\u00e9quit\u00e9 sociale et assurant un \u00e9co – syst\u00e8me favorable \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9panouissement du secteur priv\u00e9 pour une mobilisation de tous autour d\u2019objectifs de d\u00e9veloppement ambitieux.<\/p>\n
Enfin, la conjoncture internationale est un \u00e9l\u00e9ment important \u00e0 prendre en compte avec, d\u2019une part ses incertitudes marqu\u00e9es par un contexte de guerres commerciales, mais \u00e9galement ses grandes opportunit\u00e9s offertes par les \u00e9volutions constat\u00e9es dans notre principal march\u00e9 cible, celui de l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne, avec notamment le rench\u00e9rissement des pays de l\u2019Est.<\/p>\n
Mettre notre pays en condition de saisir ces opportunit\u00e9s est l\u2019objectif d\u2019un tel pacte qui \u0153uvrera ainsi \u00e0 la pr\u00e9servation et au d\u00e9veloppement de la principale richesse de la Tunisie : l\u2019existence de milliers d\u2019entreprises productives de niveau international et des centaines de milliers de comp\u00e9tences qu\u2019elles rec\u00e8lent et ce dans le cadre d\u2019un nouveau contrat social.<\/p>\n
Source<\/strong><\/em> : communiqu\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Le Conseil d\u2019analyse \u00e9conomique (CAE) organise avec le concours de la GIZ, une table-ronde sur \u00abLa conjoncture \u00e9conomique nationale et internationale 2018 et perspectives 2019 \u00bb, le jeudi 28 f\u00e9vrier 2019 \u00e0 l\u2019h\u00f4tel Four Seasons \u00e0 Gammarth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":199167,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[995,2433],"tags":[12619,8831],"class_list":["post-199166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-afif-chelbi","tag-relance-economique"],"yoast_head":"\n
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