{"id":2602353,"date":"2022-07-30T10:40:40","date_gmt":"2022-07-30T09:40:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=2602353"},"modified":"2022-07-30T10:40:41","modified_gmt":"2022-07-30T09:40:41","slug":"tunisie-fmi-fitch-ratings-reste-dubitatif","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2022\/07\/30\/tunisie-fmi-fitch-ratings-reste-dubitatif\/","title":{"rendered":"Tunisie \u2013 FMI\u00a0: Fitch Ratings reste dubitatif"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A d\u00e9faut d\u2019un accord de financement avec le FMI, les r\u00e9serves en monnaies internationales de la Tunisie pourraient se d\u00e9grader progressivement et le dinar tunisien devrait se d\u00e9pr\u00e9cier davantage. Cela augmenterait la charge de remboursement associ\u00e9e \u00e0 la dette souveraine libell\u00e9e en devises \u00e9trang\u00e8res, estim\u00e9e \u00e0 environ 49% du PIB, avertit Fitch Ratings dans un rapport publi\u00e9 jeudi 28 juillet 2022.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

L\u2019agence de notation financi\u00e8re internationale Fitch Ratings a soulign\u00e9 que la Tunisie est d\u00e9sormais en mesure de conclure un nouvel accord de financement avec le Fonds mon\u00e9taire international (FMI), sans qu\u2019il n\u2019y ait consentement pr\u00e9alable avec l\u2019Union g\u00e9n\u00e9rale tunisienne du travail (UGTT), \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 que la nouvelle constitution qui vient d\u2019\u00eatre adopt\u00e9e permet de fournir, a-t-elle dit, une \u00abbase plus solide pour les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cet accord devrait \u00eatre conclu avant la fin de cette ann\u00e9e, ajoutant que les divergences entre le gouvernement et l\u2019UGTT pourraient n\u00e9anmoins \u00abconstituer encore des obstacles \u00e0 la conclusion de cet accord\u00bb<\/em>, a pr\u00e9cis\u00e9 l\u2019agence financi\u00e8re de notation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abLa centrale syndicale a exprim\u00e9 sa volont\u00e9 de travailler avec le gouvernement sur les r\u00e9formes. Cependant, elle n\u2019a pas cach\u00e9 ses inqui\u00e9tudes quant au nouvel ordre institutionnel. Une forte opposition sociale pourrait retarder la conclusion de cet accord avec le FMI ou diminuer la capacit\u00e9 du gouvernement \u00e0 maintenir le programme de r\u00e9formes sur la bonne voie\u00bb<\/em>, a-t-elle soulign\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019agence de notation financi\u00e8re internationale a estim\u00e9 que les bailleurs de fonds internationaux restent \u00abdispos\u00e9s \u00e0 soutenir le pays apr\u00e8s l\u2019approbation par r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum, et sans troubles sociaux, d\u2019une nouvelle constitution, bien qu\u2019avec une faible participation\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ma\u00eetriser les flux migratoires en M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00abNous pensons que les cr\u00e9anciers officiels sont toujours dispos\u00e9s \u00e0 apporter leur soutien, en partie parce qu\u2019ils per\u00e7oivent ce soutien comme un moyen pour renforcer la stabilit\u00e9 dans la r\u00e9gion et ma\u00eetriser les flux migratoires \u00e0 travers la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e\u00bb<\/em>, observe Fitch Ratings, pr\u00e9cisant que le soutien financier des ces cr\u00e9anciers reste li\u00e9 \u00e0 un accord avec le FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La m\u00eame source a indiqu\u00e9 que la conclusion de cet accord n\u00e9cessite la mise en \u0153uvre pr\u00e9alable de certaines mesures importantes visant notamment \u00e0 r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrer les d\u00e9penses plut\u00f4t qu\u2019\u00e0 les r\u00e9duire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A d\u00e9faut d\u2019un tel financement, les r\u00e9serves internationales de la Tunisie pourraient se d\u00e9grader progressivement et le dinar tunisien devrait se d\u00e9pr\u00e9cier davantage. \u00abCela augmenterait la charge de remboursement associ\u00e9e \u00e0 la dette souveraine libell\u00e9e en devises \u00e9trang\u00e8res, que nous estimons \u00e0 environ 49 % du PIB\u00bb<\/em>, a indiqu\u00e9 Fitch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sans r\u00e9forme cr\u00e9dible, la Tunisie pourrait finalement \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme n\u00e9cessitant un traitement de la dette du Club de Paris avant de devenir \u00e9ligible \u00e0 un financement suppl\u00e9mentaire du FMI, avec des implications pour les cr\u00e9anciers du secteur priv\u00e9, pr\u00e9vient la m\u00eame source.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les repr\u00e9sentants du FMI avaient d\u00e9clar\u00e9, le 19 juillet dernier, \u00e0 l\u2019issue de leur mission en Tunisie, que des \u00abprogr\u00e8s notables avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 accomplis vers la mise en \u0153uvre d\u2019un programme de r\u00e9formes\u00bb<\/em>, mais ils n\u2019ont \u00e9voqu\u00e9 aucune perspective d\u2019accord, en laissant la d\u00e9cision aux plus hautes instances du Fonds, la d\u00e9cision \u00e9tant plus politique que technique et financi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En mars 2022, Fitch avait abaiss\u00e9 la note de la Tunisie de \u00abB-\u00bb \u00e0 \u00abCCC\u00bb, d\u00e9clarant que les retards dans la conclusion d\u2019un accord avec le FMI, ou dans la mise en \u0153uvre d\u2019un accord, pourraient entra\u00eener une action de notation n\u00e9gative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I. B.<\/strong> (avec Tap).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A d\u00e9faut d\u2019un accord de financement avec le FMI, les r\u00e9serves en monnaies internationales de la Tunisie pourraient se d\u00e9grader progressivement et le dinar tunisien devrait se d\u00e9pr\u00e9cier davantage, estime Fitch Ratings. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1116219,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[995,2433],"tags":[6777,388,100059,99694,62643,936],"class_list":["post-2602353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-fitch-ratings","tag-fmi","tag-nouvelle-constitution","tag-referendum-du-25-juillet","tag-tunisie","tag-ugtt"],"yoast_head":"\nTunisie \u2013 FMI\u00a0: Fitch Ratings reste dubitatif - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2022\/07\/30\/tunisie-fmi-fitch-ratings-reste-dubitatif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tunisie \u2013 FMI\u00a0: Fitch Ratings reste dubitatif - 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