Mohamed Chawki Abid<\/strong> *<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Pour \u00e9valuer les \u00e9ventuelles retomb\u00e9es du futur Accord de libre \u00e9change complet et approfondi (Aleca) entre la Tunisie et l\u2019Union europ\u00e9enne (UE), il a \u00e9t\u00e9 attribu\u00e9 au cabinet europ\u00e9en Ecorys la t\u00e2che de proc\u00e9der \u00e0 une \u00e9tude de l\u2019impact d\u2019un tel accord sur le d\u00e9veloppement \u00e0 long terme du commerce international et de l\u2019emploi des dipl\u00f4m\u00e9s du sup\u00e9rieur dans notre pays.<\/p>\n
Il s’agit d’une premi\u00e8re mission financ\u00e9e par l’UE, qui sera suivie par des \u00e9tudes d’impact et des \u00e9valuations sectorielles, sur les effets de l’accord dans diff\u00e9rents domaines, notamment sur les services, les march\u00e9s publics, la comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9 des PME, l’emploi, l’agriculture, l’environnement ou tout autre secteur prioritaire.<\/p>\n
L\u2019\u00e9quipe d\u2019Ecorys vient de remettre son livrable \u00e0 Bruxelles, avec une copie \u00e0 Tunis. L\u2019approche a \u00e9t\u00e9 sectorielle, dans laquelle l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne a \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9clin\u00e9e sur 37 secteurs, dont 10 p\u00e8sent 75% du PIB et emploient 89% des dipl\u00f4m\u00e9s du sup\u00e9rieur.<\/p>\n
Les retomb\u00e9es de l\u2019Aleca sur la balance commerciale seront \u00abcatastrophiques\u00bb<\/em>, dans la mesure o\u00f9 les importations conna\u00eetront un emballement pour l\u2019ensemble des secteurs, \u00e0 l\u2019exclusion de celui des produits forestiers, r\u00e9siduels.<\/p>\nEn outre, 18 secteurs, parmi les 37, verront leurs exportations baisser. Ceci aggraverait consid\u00e9rablement le \u00abd\u00e9ficit commercial<\/em>\u00bb, d\u2019autant plus que 35 secteurs sur les 37 verront leur taux de couverture se d\u00e9t\u00e9riorer.<\/p>\nSur le plan de l\u2019emploi des dipl\u00f4m\u00e9s du sup\u00e9rieur, 26 secteurs verront leur contribution \u00e0 l\u2019emploi des dipl\u00f4m\u00e9s de l’enseignement sup\u00e9rieur diminuer, d\u2019o\u00f9 une augmentation vraisemblable du \u00abch\u00f4mage des dipl\u00f4m\u00e9s<\/em>\u00bb.<\/p>\nCes r\u00e9sultats ne nous surprennent pas, et confirment nos appr\u00e9hensions initiales. Ils confirment \u00e9galement les \u00e9valuations critiques du bilan de 20 ans de libre-\u00e9change avec l’UE dans le cadre de l’accord scell\u00e9 en 1995.<\/p>\n
Malgr\u00e9 tout cela, le gouvernement continue \u00e0 faire l’autruche!<\/p>\n
Alors, pourquoi vouloir gaspiller du temps et de l\u2019\u00e9nergie dans le traitement de ce dossier inf\u00e9cond, voire toxique, et ce, au d\u00e9triment d\u2019une multitude de r\u00e9formes vitales et de chantiers urgents?<\/p>\n
Si nos Princes venaient \u00e0 poursuivre l’instruction du projet d’Aleca sans effectuer objectivement le bilan de 20 de libre-\u00e9change avec l\u2019UE, en d\u00e9pit de toutes les v\u00e9rit\u00e9s fracassantes qui \u00e9mergent de jour en jour, nous serions en droit de les taxer de \u00abcorruption\u00bb<\/em> et de \u00abhaute trahison\u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n* Ing\u00e9nieur \u00e9conomiste. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Le 1er rapport sur\u00a0l’impact de l’Aleca sur l’\u00e9conomie tunisienne confirme toutes les appr\u00e9hensions n\u00e9gatives des experts et de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 civile. Par Mohamed Chawki Abid *<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,1000,2433],"tags":[62,3390,1868,218,9432,2048,542],"class_list":["post-44715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-tribune","category-tunisie","tag-aleca","tag-balance-commerciale","tag-chomage","tag-commerce","tag-diplomes","tag-emploi","tag-libre-echange"],"yoast_head":"\n
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