\u2018\u2018Les perspectives \u00e9conomiques en Afrique\u2019<\/em>\u2019, pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 vendredi \u00e0 Tunis.<\/p>\nD\u2019apr\u00e8s Audrey Verdier Chouchane, \u00e9conomiste en chef \u00e0 la BAD, qui parlait lors de la 3e rencontre internationale m\u00e9diterran\u00e9enne organis\u00e9e \u00e0 Tunis, les 3 et 4 juin, par l\u2019Universit\u00e9 centrale et l’association Cemafi International, les d\u00e9fis \u00e0 relever concernent, \u00e9galement, la r\u00e9vision du mod\u00e8le de d\u00e9veloppement, la restructuration du secteur financier et la r\u00e9sorption des disparit\u00e9s r\u00e9gionales.<\/p>\n
Pour ce qui est du d\u00e9veloppement des unit\u00e9s industrielles, tr\u00e8s peu de petites et moyennes entreprises (PME) arrivent \u00e0 se d\u00e9velopper et \u00e0 cr\u00e9er de l\u2019emploi et ce processus demeure limit\u00e9 aux tr\u00e8s grandes entreprises ou aux plus petites entit\u00e9s.<\/p>\n
Pour cette doctoresse en \u00e9conomie, ni le secteur des services, ni l\u2019agriculture ne vont r\u00e9soudre le probl\u00e8me de l\u2019emploi. Seule une v\u00e9ritable politique d\u2019industrialisation pourrait le faire.<\/p>\n
En 2015, la Tunisie a enregistr\u00e9 une croissance de 0,5% du PIB, ce qui est \u00abtr\u00e8s faible\u00bb<\/em> par rapport \u00e0 ce qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9vu par la loi de Finances de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, qui tablait sur 3%. Cet \u00e9cart refl\u00e8te les probl\u00e8mes de l\u2019industrie des phosphates (arr\u00eat de la production pendant une partie de l\u2019ann\u00e9e) et la baisse des recettes touristiques d\u2019au moins 35% entre 2014\/2015, ainsi qu\u2019une production manufacturi\u00e8re en berne, a-t-elle relev\u00e9.<\/p>\nC\u2019est la production agricole qui a permis de compenser le manque \u00e0 gagner et d\u2019\u00e9viter la stagnation de l’\u00e9conomie.<\/p>\n
La croissance en Tunisie est toujours tir\u00e9e par la consommation des m\u00e9nages et par la consommation priv\u00e9e alors que la formation brute du capital fixe aussi bien public que priv\u00e9 demeure tr\u00e8s faible, d\u2019o\u00f9 l\u2019importance de d\u00e9placer les facteurs de croissance vers l\u2019investissement et de rassurer les investisseurs, a-t-elle soulign\u00e9.<\/p>\n
S\u2019agissant de l\u2019aide ext\u00e9rieure pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e au pays, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste a relev\u00e9 la hausse de l\u2019aide bilat\u00e9rale entre 2009 et 2011\/2012, par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019aide multilat\u00e9rale, pr\u00e9cisant que l\u2019on assiste \u00e0 un renversement de la tendance au cours des derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, ce qui a un impact sur la dette ext\u00e9rieure du pays.<\/p>\n
Entre 2007 et 2011, la dette ext\u00e9rieure \u00e9tait inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 50% du PIB, mais elle se dirige actuellement vers les 70 et 75% du PIB et s\u2019accro\u00eet \u00e0 un rythme \u00e9lev\u00e9 de plus de 5% par an, ce qui risque de poser des probl\u00e8mes \u00e0 plus long terme.
\nSelon des experts, cette dette est rest\u00e9e et reste soutenable car les maturit\u00e9s sont longues (sur 10 ans ou plus en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral) et les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat sont faibles. Cependant, \u00abcela peut poser probl\u00e8me si le rythme de l\u2019endettement se poursuit sur cette lanc\u00e9e\u00bb<\/em>, a affirm\u00e9 Verdier Chouchane.<\/p>\nLe rapport de la BAD, cite quelques indicateurs politiques tels que la mont\u00e9e de la protestation civile ou le durcissement du r\u00e9gime, soulignant que le r\u00e9tablissement de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 \u00abreste un probl\u00e8me de taille pour le pays\u00bb<\/em>, ainsi que les probl\u00e8mes li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9galit\u00e9 du genre, notamment en ce qui concerne l\u2019acc\u00e8s des femmes au march\u00e9 du travail.<\/p>\nToutefois, l\u2019experte a exprim\u00e9 son optimisme quant \u00e0 l\u2019avenir de l\u2019\u00e9conomie tunisienne, pr\u00e9cisant que le pays dispose de pas mal d\u2019atouts dont une capacit\u00e9 de r\u00e9sister au choc et des comp\u00e9tences humaines dans les domaines de l\u2019ing\u00e9nierie et des sciences.<\/p>\n
Source<\/strong><\/em> : Tap.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"La r\u00e9duction de l\u2019endettement ext\u00e9rieur, l\u2019am\u00e9lioration du climat des affaires et de la gouvernance et la diversification de l\u2019\u00e9conomie sont les principaux d\u00e9fis pour la Tunisie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":52636,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[995,2433],"tags":[127,249,2048,1057],"class_list":["post-52635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-banque-africaine-de-developpement","tag-croissance","tag-emploi","tag-endettement"],"yoast_head":"\n
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