{"id":5894295,"date":"2023-01-01T09:12:38","date_gmt":"2023-01-01T08:12:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=5894295"},"modified":"2023-01-01T09:12:40","modified_gmt":"2023-01-01T08:12:40","slug":"en-tunisie-la-demence-augmentera-de-250-entre-2022-2050-cest-dingue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2023\/01\/01\/en-tunisie-la-demence-augmentera-de-250-entre-2022-2050-cest-dingue\/","title":{"rendered":"En Tunisie, la d\u00e9mence augmentera de 250% entre 2022-2050, c\u2019est dingue!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n


L\u2019\u00e9tude publi\u00e9e cette semaine dans la prestigieuse revue de sant\u00e9 publique <\/em>The Lancet public Health indique que la d\u00e9mence va faire des ravages en Tunisie. Elle va augmenter de 250% les prochaines ann\u00e9es (2022-2050). Les femmes tunisiennes sont plus concern\u00e9es que les hommes. C\u2019est fou, mais c\u2019est s\u00e9rieux et on peut s\u2019en pr\u00e9munir! Voil\u00e0 comment\u2026<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Chez nos voisins Alg\u00e9riens et Libyens, la progression moyenne sera de 350%, chez les Saoudiens, les Emiratis et les Qataris, le fl\u00e9au va progresser de 450%. Quand on se compare, on se console! Mais sans les pays d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s les taux d\u2019occurrence reculent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aujourd\u2019hui, on estime que 57 millions de personnes dans le monde vivent avec la d\u00e9mence, une maladie d\u00e9g\u00e9n\u00e9rative incurable qui, dans ses pires phases, les rend d\u00e9pendantes de soins 24 heures sur 24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Une nouvelle \u00e9tude publi\u00e9e dans The Lancet Public Health<\/em> ajoute du poids aux pr\u00e9dictions selon lesquelles ce nombre va exploser. Sa projection, selon laquelle le nombre a atteint 152,8 millions d\u2019ici 2050, les femmes \u00e9tant touch\u00e9es de mani\u00e8re disproportionn\u00e9e par la maladie, est conforme aux pr\u00e9visions faites pour les sept derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es ou plus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mais contrairement aux \u00e9tudes pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes, qui reposaient sur des projections mondiales, celle-ci tenait compte des estimations au niveau des pays et des facteurs de risque sp\u00e9cifiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elle \u00e9tait encore confront\u00e9e \u00e0 de s\u00e9rieuses limitations dans la qualit\u00e9 des donn\u00e9es provenant de chaque pays, qui utilisent des m\u00e9thodologies diff\u00e9rentes et souvent m\u00eame des d\u00e9finitions diff\u00e9rentes de la d\u00e9mence.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Le fait que la conclusion soit si similaire \u00e0 celle des \u00e9tudes pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes souligne que le facteur de risque le plus important reste simple : l\u2019\u00e2ge. La d\u00e9mence est une affection qui accompagne des dizaines de maladies diff\u00e9rentes \u2013 dont la plus importante est la maladie d\u2019Alzheimer, repr\u00e9sentant 60 \u00e0 80% des cas \u2013 \u00e0 presque toutes les personnes qui deviennent plus sensibles \u00e0 mesure qu\u2019elles vieillissent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La majeure partie de l\u2019augmentation pr\u00e9vue de la d\u00e9mence est le r\u00e9sultat de deux facteurs mondiaux : l\u2019augmentation de la population et la long\u00e9vit\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u2019est pourquoi les plus fortes augmentations se trouvent dans les r\u00e9gions du monde o\u00f9 la population conna\u00eet la croissance la plus rapide, comme l\u2019Afrique subsaharienne. Cela signifie que la d\u00e9mence ne sera plus, comme \u00e0 l\u2019heure actuelle, principalement un probl\u00e8me du monde riche.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans les pays riches, pendant ce temps, l\u2019augmentation de la d\u00e9mence est pr\u00e9vue en grande partie parce que les populations vieillissent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019\u00e9tude de Lancet<\/em> prend \u00e9galement en compte les risques qui, contrairement \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e2ge, sont modifiables : tabagisme, ob\u00e9sit\u00e9, taux \u00e9lev\u00e9 de sucre dans le sang et faible niveau d\u2019\u00e9ducation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e9j\u00e0, en Am\u00e9rique du Nord et en Europe, l\u2019incidence de la d\u00e9mence \u2013 c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le pourcentage de personnes de tout \u00e2ge atteint de la maladie \u2013 a sensiblement diminu\u00e9, peut-\u00eatre en raison d\u2019un meilleur acc\u00e8s et de la qualit\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9ducation et de l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la sant\u00e9 cardiovasculaire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019\u00e9tude r\u00e9v\u00e8le qu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale, ces progr\u00e8s r\u00e9duiront de 6,2 millions le nombre de personnes susceptibles d\u2019\u00eatre atteintes de d\u00e9mence. Cependant, l\u2019augmentation de l\u2019ob\u00e9sit\u00e9, du tabagisme et de l\u2019hypertension art\u00e9rielle dans certains pays fera plus que compenser cela, ce qui entra\u00eenera 6,8 millions de cas suppl\u00e9mentaires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toutes ces projections sont bien s\u00fbr approximatives (avec marge d\u2019erreur statistique de 5%). Mais l\u2019argument de cette \u00e9tude est incontestable : le monde devra apprendre \u00e0 vivre avec un grand nombre de personnes atteintes de d\u00e9mence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il n\u2019existe pas encore de vaccin ni de rem\u00e8de, bien que l\u2019Am\u00e9rique ait approuv\u00e9 l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re un m\u00e9dicament pour le traitement de la maladie d\u2019Alzheimer \u00e0 un stade pr\u00e9coce.
Aucun pays n\u2019a encore d\u00e9termin\u00e9 comment il va payer les soins dont ces personnes auront besoin. Et dans de nombreux endroits, il est loin d\u2019\u00eatre clair o\u00f9 se trouveront les aidants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lire l’\u00e9tude en anglais.<\/a><\/em><\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Selon une \u00e9tude internationale, la d\u00e9mence va faire des ravages en Tunisie d’ici 2050. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":5894382,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[992,998,2433],"tags":[105469,6175,105471,84831,88017,105470,62643],"class_list":["post-5894295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-societe","category-tunisie","tag-demence","tag-hypertension-arterielle","tag-maladie-dalzheimer","tag-obesite","tag-tabagisme","tag-the-lancet-public-health","tag-tunisie"],"yoast_head":"\nEn Tunisie, la d\u00e9mence augmentera de 250% entre 2022-2050, c\u2019est dingue! - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2023\/01\/01\/en-tunisie-la-demence-augmentera-de-250-entre-2022-2050-cest-dingue\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En Tunisie, la d\u00e9mence augmentera de 250% entre 2022-2050, c\u2019est dingue! 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