{"id":6275804,"date":"2023-02-03T09:07:25","date_gmt":"2023-02-03T08:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/?p=6275804"},"modified":"2023-02-03T09:07:26","modified_gmt":"2023-02-03T08:07:26","slug":"tunisie-les-premices-de-la-crise-monetaire-se-precisent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2023\/02\/03\/tunisie-les-premices-de-la-crise-monetaire-se-precisent\/","title":{"rendered":"Tunisie\u00a0: les pr\u00e9mices de la crise mon\u00e9taire se pr\u00e9cisent"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

La masse mon\u00e9taire M3 en novembre 2022 a connu, en Tunisie, une croissance de 8,6% sur un an (YoY), un rythme plus rapide par rapport \u00e0 la croissance de 8% observ\u00e9e en novembre 2021.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

C\u2019est ce qu\u2019indique le dernier rapport de la Banque centrale de Tunisie (BCT) sur les \u00e9volutions \u00e9conomiques et mon\u00e9taires et les perspectives \u00e0 moyen terme, publi\u00e9 jeudi 2 f\u00e9vrier 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019agr\u00e9gat M3 est l\u2019indicateur le plus \u00e9toff\u00e9 relatif au cr\u00e9dit bancaire. La caract\u00e9ristique commune des diff\u00e9rents placements de l\u2019agr\u00e9gat M3 est que tous figurent parmi les moins \u00abliquides\u00bb<\/em> de la masse mon\u00e9taire : ils ne peuvent \u00eatre convertis en monnaie qu\u2019\u00e0 condition de respecter un certain d\u00e9lai. Il s\u2019agit, principalement, des d\u00e9p\u00f4ts \u00e0 terme d\u2019une dur\u00e9e sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 deux ans, les OPCVM mon\u00e9taires (Sicav, FCP\u2026) et les pensions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Poursuite de la baisse des liquidit\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cette croissance de la masse mon\u00e9taire M3 est principalement due \u00e0 une augmentation significative de la cat\u00e9gorie \u00abM2-M1\u00bb, qui a connu un taux de croissance de 10,7%, contre 7,9% l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019augmentation peut \u00eatre attribu\u00e9e \u00e0 la hausse des certificats de d\u00e9p\u00f4t de 38,9%, contre une baisse de 2,8% l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, et \u00e0 une hausse des d\u00e9p\u00f4ts \u00e0 terme de 10,1%, contre 6,8% en novembre 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En revanche, la masse mon\u00e9taire M1, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire l\u2019ensemble des pi\u00e8ces et des billets en circulation\u00a0<\/strong>ainsi que les d\u00e9p\u00f4ts \u00e0 vue domicili\u00e9s aupr\u00e8s des banques (comptes courants), c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les avoirs les plus liquides est rest\u00e9e quasiment inchang\u00e9e, avec un taux de croissance de 7,2% (contre 7,3 % en novembre 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019augmentation de la masse mon\u00e9taire M3 peut \u00eatre attribu\u00e9e \u00e0 deux facteurs : la hausse des cr\u00e9ances nettes sur les entit\u00e9s \u00e9trang\u00e8res en novembre 2022, tir\u00e9e par une augmentation des r\u00e9serves de change, et l\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration du taux de croissance des pr\u00eats \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En outre, les cr\u00e9ances nettes sur l\u2019\u00c9tat ont connu une augmentation moindre par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ralentissement de la croissance des cr\u00e9dits<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Parall\u00e8lement, les donn\u00e9es du Bureau central d\u2019information de la BCT ont montr\u00e9 que les pr\u00eats \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie ont augment\u00e9 \u00e0 un rythme plus lent en novembre 2022, avec un taux de croissance en glissement annuel de 6,9\u200b\u200b% contre 7,3% en octobre 2022 et 6,1% en novembre 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ralentissement de la croissance des cr\u00e9dits \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie a impact\u00e9 les cr\u00e9dits accord\u00e9s aux professionnels qui ont connu une croissance sur un an de 8,3% en novembre 2022 contre 8,7% en octobre 2022 et 5,9% en novembre 2021. Cela s\u2019est particuli\u00e8rement manifest\u00e9 sur les cr\u00e9dits \u00e0 court terme, qui a affich\u00e9 une croissance en glissement annuel de 16,7 % contre 18,5 % en octobre 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ralentissement de la croissance des cr\u00e9dits a \u00e9galement affect\u00e9 les cr\u00e9dits accord\u00e9s aux particuliers, qui affichent une croissance en glissement annuel de 3,1% contre 3,3 %. Cela se traduit par le ralentissement de la croissance des cr\u00e9dits \u00e0 la consommation, avec un taux de 3,3% contre 3,7%, et des cr\u00e9dits \u00e0 l\u2019habitat, avec un taux de 2,7% contre 2,9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I. B.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le ralentissement de la croissance des cr\u00e9dits a \u00e9galement affect\u00e9 les cr\u00e9dits accord\u00e9s aux particuliers. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":4432652,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[995,2433],"tags":[128,106401,106400,1401,105816,19839,62643],"class_list":["post-6275804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-tunisie","tag-banque-centrale","tag-certificats-de-depot","tag-depots-a-terme","tag-liquidites","tag-masse-monetaire","tag-reserves-de-change","tag-tunisie"],"yoast_head":"\nTunisie\u00a0: les pr\u00e9mices de la crise mon\u00e9taire se pr\u00e9cisent - Kapitalis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kapitalis.com\/tunisie\/2023\/02\/03\/tunisie-les-premices-de-la-crise-monetaire-se-precisent\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tunisie\u00a0: les pr\u00e9mices de la crise mon\u00e9taire se pr\u00e9cisent - 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